Democrat Joshua Shapiro will be the next governor of Pennsylvania, beating out opponent Doug Mastriano by a wide margin, winning 56% of the vote compared to 42% for his opponent. Shapiro has said he would better fund public education and support abortion rights while his opponent pledged the opposite. “Tonight, voters from Gen Z to our seniors, voters from all walks of life, have given me the honor of a lifetime, given me the chance to serve you as Pennsylvania’s next governor,” Shapiro told supporters Tuesday night in suburban Philadelphia. Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville Wednesday identified Shapiro as the candidate to watch coming out of the 2022 election cycle.

The Pennsylvania governor鈥檚 race 鈥� a face-off between a well-funded ambitious young climber already eyed as a future presidential contender and a radical right-wing election denier whose own GOP party leaders refuse to support 鈥� is among the most watched in the nation for its 2024 implications. 

The winner could wield significant power over how votes are counted in the next presidential election, one in which Donald Trump seeks to like Republican Doug Mastriano, in a key battleground state.

Education is a leading issue in political contests across the country with Republicans pushing to remove discussions of race and gender from the classroom while leaning into greater parental control. But the script has flipped somewhat in Pennsylvania, with Mastriano’s stance so extreme he’s mobilized school board opponents to take unusual steps to block him while Democrat Josh Shapiro has embraced a school choice avenue usually reserved for conservatives. Both advocate stronger parent influence in schools. 

Mastriano, a 58-year-old retired Army colonel who joined the state Senate in 2019, has pledged to , 鈥� which 鈥� clamp down on teachings around race and privilege and ban transgender athletes from playing on the teams with which they identify.

Shapiro, the state鈥檚 attorney general since 2017, has said he will continue Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf鈥檚 mission to . Shapiro, 49, has for those school districts engaged in a multi-year legal battle with the state for g and called a Republican-backed bill to curb transgender athletes鈥� rights

But Shapiro favors ,鈥� which would allow children attending the state鈥檚 poorest-performing schools to access money to pay for tutoring or tuition at a different public or private campus. The pending scholarship bill would 191,000 children 鈥� a vast majority are low-income students of color 鈥� in 382 schools across 76 of the state鈥檚 500 school districts. 

Shapiro is leading in several polls and has raised more than $50 million for his campaign, the largest war chest in state history for that office. While Mastriano鈥檚 coffers are 鈥� and some Republicans wish they鈥檇 selected another candidate 鈥� the state lawmaker has at least one influential backer: . 

The former president said recently Mastriano would curb crime, bolster the state economy and work to ensure a fair election 鈥� but Shapiro said the candidate is motivated by a different objective. 

鈥淔or Doug Mastriano, this isn鈥檛 about the people of Pennsylvania 鈥� it鈥檚 about a victory for Donald Trump in 2024,鈥� the attorney general wrote on Sept. 30. 鈥淗e knows that the key to a presidential win is by winning Pennsylvania, and he鈥檒l use whatever means necessary to make it happen.鈥�

Mastriano, who recently announced in the lead up to the Nov. 8 election to somehow improve his chances, said he is the right candidate to put the state in order. Known for his extreme views, he鈥檚 from a 2019 assertion that women who violate abortion restrictions should be charged with murder. The candidate also has pledged to toughen voting laws, a notion that could gain support in the state鈥檚 Republican-controlled legislature.  

鈥淲ith record high inflation, increased crime, burdensome taxes, and indoctrination of our kids under failed Democrat policy, it’s time for a bold leader to get our state back on track,鈥� he wrote Sept. 29. 鈥淚’ll unshackle our energy sector, restore law and order, slash taxes, and ban CRT.鈥�

But it was Mastriano’s early statements about how he would approach school funding that aligned forces across several fronts to thwart him. Mastriano said in March he鈥檇 like to and would allow students to attend a school of their choosing, including public, private, religious, cyber or homeschool.

鈥淭his extreme proposal would be devastating to Pennsylvania鈥檚 public schools and 1.7 million students,鈥� according to a statement from the Pennsylvania State Education Association, the state鈥檚 largest teachers union. 鈥淚magine a public education system with half the teachers, counselors, nurses, and support staff who teach and serve our students.鈥�

The Republican 鈥� 70 school board members from across the state signed an condemning the strategy, calling it 鈥渙ut of touch with the vast majority of Pennsylvania families鈥� 鈥� but no new plan has been unveiled. 

Chris Lilienthal, spokesman for the 178,000-member teachers association, said Mastriano never responded to an invitation to discuss pressing educational issues either through a survey or live interview with the union鈥檚 political action committee.

Shapiro did meet with the group 鈥� and . 

“We sat down with Attorney General Shapiro and walked away thinking he listens to the concerns of educators,鈥� Lilienthal said. 鈥淗e talked about reducing the overuse of standardized testing 鈥� and, in this age of teacher shortages, he talked about just how important that issue will be if elected governor. We have not heard Mastriano even talk about that.” 

David Lapp, director of policy research at , a Philadelphia-based nonprofit, said equity should be the new governor鈥檚 top priority concerning education. 

鈥淲hether it is in access to school facilities, teachers and staff, challenging curriculum, or a positive school climate, the Pennsylvania public school system is defined by inequity,鈥� said Lapp, whose group uses research as the basis for improving education for traditionally underserved students. 鈥淰irtually no other state鈥檚 public schools provide so much to its white students and wealthy students while providing so little to its students of color and its low-income students.鈥� 

A member of the Senate Education Committee, Mastriano said he would, if elected, crack down on teachings about race and privilege 鈥� , saying they are 鈥渄etrimental鈥� and can lead to bullying. He called policies to protect transgender students 鈥渂at crap crazy鈥� 鈥� he鈥檚 likened 鈥� 鈥� telling supporters this summer that they won鈥檛 have to worry about 鈥渕ale domination鈥� on women鈥檚 athletic teams. 

He鈥檚 also called out his opponent for attending and sending his children to 鈥� Jewish schools. Mastriano paid $5,000 in consulting fees to the far-right social media platform Gab, which embraces QAnon conspiracy theories, misinformation and . Its founder is a known anti-Semite from whom Mastriano has recently attempted to . 

Neither candidate returned calls for comment.

Deborah Gordon Klehr, executive director of the tax-exempt Education Law Center, a key player in the years-long equitable school funding case, wouldn鈥檛 comment on either contender but said parents 鈥� and all Pennsylvanians 鈥� should pay close attention to their positions on education.

鈥淭he state鈥檚 role is especially important in Pennsylvania鈥檚 less affluent communities that are unable to raise sufficient funding locally to provide students with a high-quality education,鈥� she said. 

Tony B. Watlington Sr., superintendent of The School District of Philadelphia, agreed that the outcome is critical.  

鈥淩egardless of who is elected, it is my hope that they will ensure that the commonwealth finally meets its constitutional obligation to adequately and equitably fund our schools, solve our educator pipeline issues so that every student has access to a high-quality teacher, and invest again in our school facilities,鈥� he said. 

Shapiro, a state representative from 2005 to 2011, has won wide support, including from a number of , some of whom have called Mastriano dangerous. 

Mastriano, in his current role, has promoted legislation to access and review all instructional materials used throughout the school year 鈥� and to opt out of curriculum they find objectionable.

Shapiro, a father of four, also has promised by giving them two seats on the state鈥檚 Board of Education.

鈥淩ight now, there are more seats reserved on the board for politicians than parents,鈥� he wrote. 鈥淭hat needs to change.鈥�

Mastriano made a name for himself by railing against mask mandates and business closures at the height of the pandemic and for promoting the Big Lie. He has faced calls for resignation for his role in the Jan. 6 insurrection: Records show his campaign paid for buses headed to Washington, D.C. days before the deadly attack. 

He鈥檚 said he did not enter the Capitol building and has not been charged with a crime. But he has testified before the congressional committee investigating the assault. He cut short the interview after questioning its authority and later . 

Unlike his Democratic opponent, who鈥檚 received big money from outside the state, including deep-pocketed donors from California 鈥� and his wife, Kate Capshaw, among them 鈥� Mastriano鈥檚 campaign is funded mostly by small donations from within Pennsylvania. 

The candidate, who rarely grants interviews to mainstream news outlets, in May but has done little to campaign of late, leaving many questioning his wider voter appeal. His supporters include 鈥� who says she speaks directly with God and espouses QAnon conspiracy theories.